Lake Research Associates for Darcy Burner (10/11-14, likely voters, 9/23-25 in parentheses):
Darcy Burner (D): 47 (45)
Dave Reichert (R): 40 (48)
(MoE: ±4.4%)
There was a sudden wave of pessimism about this race in the blogosphere (and elsewhere) last week in the face of two bad polls (an 8-point deficit in a public poll from R2K via Daily Kos, and a 3-point deficit in a Dem-sponsored poll). Things seem to have turned on a dime in the Eighth District, though.
Coming right after yesterday’s surprising DCCC poll giving Burner a five-point edge, here comes a second Dem poll from Lake (who found the 3-point deficit last time) showing Burner up by 7. I’d still like to see a poll from SurveyUSA of this race before I feel confident that it’s tracking alongside other possibly-successful rematches (like NC-08 and IL-10), but this has to be a real confidence booster.
As I’ve stated elsewhere, this is a district dominated by Microsoft and Boeing, and isn’t as directly impacted by chaos in the financial sector as a lot of other affluent suburban areas may be. However, Microserfs and Boeing employees still have 401(k)s, and I suspect they may have finally opened their statements last week.
Update: The full polling memo is available below the fold.
Check that out.
Also Lunsford outraised Mitch 3.2 mil to 2.5 mil but has way less on hand and 2.4 of that was from a loan.
7/31/08 – 9/30/08 (2 Months)
3Q = $843K
CTD = $3,186K
COH = $771K
http://query.nictusa.com/cgi-b…
If Burner was well ahead like this poll indicates, it should have been mirrored by the two polls last week. Which one do you think is the outlier?
WA-08 is a money trap. Dumping $3 million every two years in a district Kerry won is a complete waste.